Showing posts with label Emplyments. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Emplyments. Show all posts

Monday, November 17

Causes of Inflation

Demand-pull
An increase in aggregate demand, which will shift the aggregate demand curve to the right.

Factors creating a demand-pull inflation:
· Increase in government spending
· Increase in the supply of money

Cost-push
The aggregate supply curve shift to the left. Both result in higher price levels.

Factors which induce a cost-pull inflation:

  • Increase in wage rates
  • Increase in raw material costs

Increase in the price level in the rest of the worldif prices increase in other countries, residents of those countries will want to buy goods from domestic producers; i.e., exports will increase.

Employment

Labor force
Those who have jobs or are seeking a job, are at least 16 years old and are not serving in the military.

Labor-force participation rate
= Labor force / population age 16 or above

Employment-to-population ratio
=% of working-age population who are employed

Unemployed person
The person who are actively seeking employment, or waiting to begin or return to a job.

Note:
· Unemployment is higher during a recession and usually does not pick up until after the economy is coming out of a recession; it is usually regarded as a "lagging indicator".

Key labor Market Indicators
Rate of unemployment =No. of unemployed / no. in labor force

Problems with measuring unemployment:

  • Part-time workers {counting them as employed=>understates unemployment rate}
  • Discouraged workers {not counted as unemployed=> understates unemployment}
  • Unserious benefit registrants {opportunists who are not really looking towork =>overstates unemployment}
  • Underground workers {not counted as employed =>overstates unemployment}.

Aggregate hours
It caters the issue of part-timers and thus is a better measure of the quantity of labor. It increases with GDP.

Aggregate hours =Total hours worked in a year by all employed people

Real wage rate
Money wages adjusted the changes in price level

Real wage rate =Nominal wages / GDP deflator.

Full employment
Full employment does not imply zero unemployment. A dynamic economy will always have some unemployment, taking into account structural and frictional factors.

Types of unemployment:
Frictional Unemployment

  • Workers cannot be immediately matched with existing jobs due to imperfect information and job search is done by both employer and employee. Workers who are voluntarily between jobs because of looking for better jobs or moving to different geographical location.

Structural Unemployment

  • Economic restructuring throws people out of jobs, i.e. some job skills are not in demand.

Cyclical Unemployment

  • This occurs due to downturns in overall business activity.

The natural rate of unemployment
It is the rate of unemployment that is expected when an economy is operating at full capacity (cylical unemployment is zero) Unemployment occurs naturally due to imperfect information and job shopping.

Business cycle

Business cycyle is characterized by fluctuations in economic activity:

Peak - unemployment is low, incomes are high and businesses are operating at full capacity

Contraction - aggregate economic conditions began to slow.

Trough - the low point of the contraction phase is called the recessionary trough

Expansion
- after the low point is reached and business conditions began to improve

Conditions during the low point are referred to as a recession (define as being a decline in Gross Domestic Product over two or more quarters). Severe recessions (both in length of time and severity of the contraction) are referred to as depressions.

Variables to determine the phase of the cycle

Notes:

  • Contraction is getting shorter while expansion is getting longer nowadays.
  • Recession means real GDP has decreased for 2-3 quarters, contractionary & recessionary trough phases
  • Depression means prolonged and severe recession