Monday, November 10

Lognormal dististbution

A random variable is lognormally distributed if the natural log of the random variable follows a normal distribution. It is usually used to model asset prices.

Y=ex

Properties of lognormal dististbution :

Notes:

  • E(Y)≠eE(X), E(Y)>eE(X) , Var(Y)≠evar(X) but not clear which is greater
  • Increase in E(X) leads to increase in E(Y) & var(Y)
  • Increase in Var(X) leads to increase E(Y) & Var(Y)
  • (Y)=eE(X)+Var(x)/2, Var(Y)=e2E(X)+Var(X) - (eVar(X)-1)

My tips:

  • No need to memorize the above ugly formula, but need to understand the indication of the direction of change.

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