Wednesday, November 26

Business Cycle

Phases of Business Cycle
· Recession
· Recovery
· Early Expansion
· Late Expansion
· Slowing into Recession

Recession

The bottom stage of the cycle, the stage ahead of recovery.
Attractive investment opportunities: commodities and stocks.

Recovery
The stage after recovery, start to “recover” after the recession
Attractive investment opportunities: cyclical investments and commodities

Early Expansion
A continuation of the recovery stage, where the recovery begins to gain momentum.
Attractive investment opportunities: overall stock market and real estate.

Late Expansion
After the early expansion stage, the expansion momentum continues and investor confidence is strong.
Attractive investment opportunities: bonds and interest sensitive investments.

Slowing into Recession

After the expansion phase, where the economy begins to show signs of slowing down and even turning negative.
Attractive investment opportunities: bonds and interest sensitive investments.

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